Statistical Thinking: a Simulation Approach to Modeling Uncertainty

Statistical Thinking: a Simulation Approach to Modeling Uncertainty
Title Statistical Thinking: a Simulation Approach to Modeling Uncertainty PDF eBook
Author Andrew Zieffler
Publisher
Total Pages 176
Release 2012-08-29
Genre Mathematical statistics
ISBN 9780615691305

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Learning statistics is sexy.Almost every person on earth will benefit from learning some foundational ideas of statistics. This is true because statistics forms the basis of our everyday world just as much as do science, technology, and politics. Google, Netflix, Twitter, Facebook, OKCupid, Match.com, Amazon, iTunes, and the Federal Government are just a handful of the companies and organizations that use statistics on a daily basis. Journalism, political science, biology, sociology, psychology, graphic design, economics, sports science, and dance are all disciplines that have made use of statistical methodology.The materials in this book will introduce you to the seminal ideas underlying the discipline of statistics. In addition, they have been designed with your learning in mind. As you engage in and use the skills, concepts and ideas introduced in the material, you will find yourself thinking about data and evidence in a different way.

Uncertainty

Uncertainty
Title Uncertainty PDF eBook
Author William Briggs
Publisher Springer
Total Pages 258
Release 2016-07-15
Genre Mathematics
ISBN 3319397567

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This book presents a philosophical approach to probability and probabilistic thinking, considering the underpinnings of probabilistic reasoning and modeling, which effectively underlie everything in data science. The ultimate goal is to call into question many standard tenets and lay the philosophical and probabilistic groundwork and infrastructure for statistical modeling. It is the first book devoted to the philosophy of data aimed at working scientists and calls for a new consideration in the practice of probability and statistics to eliminate what has been referred to as the "Cult of Statistical Significance." The book explains the philosophy of these ideas and not the mathematics, though there are a handful of mathematical examples. The topics are logically laid out, starting with basic philosophy as related to probability, statistics, and science, and stepping through the key probabilistic ideas and concepts, and ending with statistical models. Its jargon-free approach asserts that standard methods, such as out-of-the-box regression, cannot help in discovering cause. This new way of looking at uncertainty ties together disparate fields — probability, physics, biology, the “soft” sciences, computer science — because each aims at discovering cause (of effects). It broadens the understanding beyond frequentist and Bayesian methods to propose a Third Way of modeling.

The Learning and Teaching of Statistics and Probability

The Learning and Teaching of Statistics and Probability
Title The Learning and Teaching of Statistics and Probability PDF eBook
Author Luis Saldanha
Publisher Taylor & Francis
Total Pages 165
Release 2023-12-01
Genre Education
ISBN 1003805566

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Filled with practical learning activities to adopt within your classroom, The Learning and Teaching of Statistics and Probability places reasoning about quantities and quantification at the core of learning and teaching statistics. A companion website to this book is also available at https://neilhatfield.github.io/IMPACT_Statistics/, allowing readers to access a directory of resources – data collections and web-based applets – used in some of the instructional activities featured within this book. Through its presentation of conceptual analyses and resources for teaching with statistical data, the book’s five chapters establish key concepts and foundational ideas in statistics and probability, emphasizing the development of learner understanding and coherence, for example: Individual cases and their attributes Data collections, sub-collections, and relevant operations to quantify their attributes Samples, population, and quantifying variation Types of processes, meanings of randomness, and probability as a measure of stochastic tendency Sampling distributions and statistical inference. This highly informative yet practical book is an indispensable resource for teachers of secondary school mathematics, mathematics subject leads, and mathematics and statistics educators within the wider field of education.

International Handbook of Research in Statistics Education

International Handbook of Research in Statistics Education
Title International Handbook of Research in Statistics Education PDF eBook
Author Dani Ben-Zvi
Publisher Springer
Total Pages 512
Release 2017-12-08
Genre Education
ISBN 3319661957

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This handbook connects the practice of statistics to the teaching and learning of the subject with contributions from experts in several disciplines. Chapters present current challenges and methods of statistics education in the changing world for statistics and mathematics educators. Issues addressed include current and future challenges in professional development of teachers, use of technology tools, design of learning environments and appropriate student assessments. This handbook presents challenging and inspiring international research perspectives on the history and nature, current issues, and future directions of statistics education and statistics education research.

Regression Modeling Strategies

Regression Modeling Strategies
Title Regression Modeling Strategies PDF eBook
Author Frank E. Harrell
Publisher Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages 583
Release 2013-03-09
Genre Mathematics
ISBN 147573462X

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Many texts are excellent sources of knowledge about individual statistical tools, but the art of data analysis is about choosing and using multiple tools. Instead of presenting isolated techniques, this text emphasizes problem solving strategies that address the many issues arising when developing multivariable models using real data and not standard textbook examples. It includes imputation methods for dealing with missing data effectively, methods for dealing with nonlinear relationships and for making the estimation of transformations a formal part of the modeling process, methods for dealing with "too many variables to analyze and not enough observations," and powerful model validation techniques based on the bootstrap. This text realistically deals with model uncertainty and its effects on inference to achieve "safe data mining".

The Science and Management of Uncertainty

The Science and Management of Uncertainty
Title The Science and Management of Uncertainty PDF eBook
Author Bruce G. Marcot
Publisher CRC Press
Total Pages 278
Release 2020-11-26
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1000244512

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Uncertainty can take many forms, can be represented in many ways, and can have important implications in decision-making and policy development. This book provides a rigorous scientific framework for dealing with uncertainty in real-world situations, and provides a comprehensive study of concepts, measurements, and applications of uncertainty in ecological modeling and natural resource management. The focus of this book is on the kinds and implications of uncertainty in environmental modeling and management, with practical guidelines and examples for successful modeling and risk analysis in the face of uncertain conditions and incomplete information. Provided is a clear classification of uncertainty; methods for measuring, modeling, and communicating uncertainty; practical guidelines for capturing and representing expert knowledge and judgment; explanations of the role of uncertainty in decision-making; a guideline to avoiding logical fallacies when dealing with uncertainty; and several example cases of real-world ecological modeling and risk analysis to illustrate the concepts and approaches. Case topics provide examples of structured decision-making, statistical modeling, and related topics. A summary provides practical next steps that the reader can take in analyzing and interpreting uncertainty in real-world situations. Also provided is a glossary and a suite of references.

Innovations in Multivariate Statistical Modeling

Innovations in Multivariate Statistical Modeling
Title Innovations in Multivariate Statistical Modeling PDF eBook
Author Andriëtte Bekker
Publisher Springer Nature
Total Pages 434
Release 2022-12-15
Genre Mathematics
ISBN 3031139712

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Multivariate statistical analysis has undergone a rich and varied evolution during the latter half of the 20th century. Academics and practitioners have produced much literature with diverse interests and with varying multidisciplinary knowledge on different topics within the multivariate domain. Due to multivariate algebra being of sustained interest and being a continuously developing field, its appeal breaches laterally across multiple disciplines to act as a catalyst for contemporary advances, with its core inferential genesis remaining in that of statistics. It is exactly this varied evolution caused by an influx in data production, diffusion, and understanding in scientific fields that has blurred many lines between disciplines. The cross-pollination between statistics and biology, engineering, medical science, computer science, and even art, has accelerated the vast amount of questions that statistical methodology has to answer and report on. These questions are often multivariate in nature, hoping to elucidate uncertainty on more than one aspect at the same time, and it is here where statistical thinking merges mathematical design with real life interpretation for understanding this uncertainty. Statistical advances benefit from these algebraic inventions and expansions in the multivariate paradigm. This contributed volume aims to usher novel research emanating from a multivariate statistical foundation into the spotlight, with particular significance in multidisciplinary settings. The overarching spirit of this volume is to highlight current trends, stimulate a focus on, and connect multidisciplinary dots from and within multivariate statistical analysis. Guided by these thoughts, a collection of research at the forefront of multivariate statistical thinking is presented here which has been authored by globally recognized subject matter experts.