Evidence-Based Technical Analysis examines how you can apply the scientific method, and recently developed statistical tests, to determine the true effectiveness of technical trading signals. Throughout the book, expert David Aronson provides you with comprehensive coverage of this new methodology, which is specifically designed for evaluating the performance of rules/signals that are discovered by data mining.

Gaps have attracted the attention of market technicians from the earliest days of charting. They're not merely conspicuous: they represent price jumps that could signal profitable trading opportunities. Until now, however, "folklore" about gap trading has been common, and tested, research-based knowledge virtually nonexistent. In Technical Analysis of Gaps, renowned technical analysis researchers Julie Dahlquist and Richard Bauer change all that. Drawing on 60 years of comprehensive data, they demonstrate how to sort "strategic" gaps from trivial ones, and successfully trade on gaps identified as significant. Building on work that recently earned them the Market Technicians Association's 2011 Charles H. Dow Award for creativity and innovation in technical analysis, Dahlquist and Bauer offer specific gap-related trading tips for stocks, futures, and options. They consider a wide variety of market conditions, including gap size, volume and previous price movement, illuminating their findings with easy-to-understand diagrams. Coverage includes: understanding what gaps are and how they arise; recognizing windows on candlestick charts; identifying gaps with superior profit potential; combining gaps with other technical techniques for a more complete and effective analysis; and putting it all together with real trading strategies. For stock, commodity, and currency traders in the U.S. and worldwide, and for active individual investors seeking new ways to maximize returns.

A breakthrough trading book that provides powerful insights on profitable technical patterns and strategies The Art and Science of Technical Analysis is a groundbreaking work that bridges the gaps between the academic view of markets, technical analysis, and profitable trading. The book explores why randomness prevails in markets most, but not all, of the time and how technical analysis can be used to capture statistically validated patterns in certain types of market conditions. The belief of the book is that buying and selling pressure causes patterns in prices, but that these technical patterns are only effective in the presence of true buying/selling imbalance. The Art and Science of Technical Analysis is supported by extensive statistical analysis of the markets, which will debunk some tools and patterns such as Fibonacci analysis, and endorse other tools and trade setups. In addition, this reliable resource discusses trader psychology and trader learning curves based on the author's extensive experience as a trader and trainer of traders. Offers serious traders a way to think about market problems, understand their own performance, and help find a more productive path forward Includes extensive research to validate specific money-making patterns and strategies Written by an experienced market practitioner who has trained and worked with many top traders Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, The Art and Science of Technical Analysis will give you a realistic sense of how markets behave, when and how technical analysis works, and what it really takes to trade successfully.

Traders who use charts to time their moves rely on strong and clear signals. Unfortunately, price levels and traditional technical indicators alone aren't always reliable. There is a solution: candlestick signs, moves, and patterns. When these visual signs of reversal or continuation are integrated with other signals, they provide the strongest possible entry and exit timing: both the signal and the means for confirming it. In this easy-to-use book, renowned trader Michael C. Thomsett demystifies candlesticks and shows active traders exactly how to use them. In Trading with Candlesticks, Thomsett explains how each leading candlestick works, how they appear, and how to interpret them to discover emerging price moves and trend reversals, as well as confirmations of existing trends. Trading with Candlesticks shows dozens of examples of candlestick signs, moves and patterns in action, explaining them not in isolation, but as part of broader, developing price trends on real stock charts. Thomsett also discusses failed signals, and offers guidelines for identifying the likely impending failure or success of each pattern. While no investing approach is 100% foolproof, Thomsett's system for recognizing candlestick signals and confirming them with other technical signs makes technical analysis more accurate than it's ever been before.

This book provides a fresh approach to reliability theory, an area that has gained increasing relevance in fields from statistics and engineering to demography and insurance. Its innovative use of quantile functions gives an analysis of lifetime data that is generally simpler, more robust, and more accurate than the traditional methods, and opens the door for further research in a wide variety of fields involving statistical analysis. In addition, the book can be used to good effect in the classroom as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate courses in Reliability and Statistics.

A clear, step-by-step approach to practical uses of discrete-signal analysis and design, especially for communications and radio engineers This book provides an introduction to discrete-time and discrete-frequency signal processing, which is rapidly becoming an important, modern way to design and analyze electronics projects of all kinds. It presents discrete-signal processing concepts from the perspective of an experienced electronics or radio engineer, which is especially meaningful for practicing engineers, technicians, and students. The approach is almost entirely mathematical, but at a level that is suitable for undergraduate curriculums and also for independent, at-home study using a personal computer. Coverage includes: First principles, including the Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) Sine, cosine, and theta Spectral leakage and aliasing Smoothing and windowing Multiplication and convolution Probability and correlation Power spectrum Hilbert transform The accompanying CD-ROM includes Mathcad® v.14 Academic Edition, which is reproduced with permission and has no time limitation for use, providing users with a sophisticated and world-famous tool for a wide range of applied mathematics capabilities. Discrete-Signal Analysis and Design is written in an easy-to-follow, conversational style and supplies readers with a solid foundation for more advanced literature and software. It employs occasional re-examination and reinforcement of particularly important concepts, and each chapter contains self-study examples and full-page Mathcad® Worksheets, worked-out and fully explained.

This book examines ways to enhance evidence-based policymaking, striking a balance between theory and practice. The attention to theory builds a greater understanding of why miscommunication and mistrust occur. Until we better appreciate the forces that divide researchers and policymakers, we cannot effectively construct strategies for bringing them together.