An Objective System for Preparing Operational Weather Forecasts
Title | An Objective System for Preparing Operational Weather Forecasts PDF eBook |
Author | Iver A. Lund |
Publisher | |
Total Pages | 58 |
Release | 1955 |
Genre | Weather forecasting |
ISBN |
Completing the Forecast
Title | Completing the Forecast PDF eBook |
Author | National Research Council |
Publisher | National Academies Press |
Total Pages | 124 |
Release | 2006-10-09 |
Genre | Science |
ISBN | 0309180538 |
Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.
An Operational System to Measure, Compute and Present Approach Visibility Information
Title | An Operational System to Measure, Compute and Present Approach Visibility Information PDF eBook |
Author | Thomas O. Haig |
Publisher | |
Total Pages | 128 |
Release | 1958 |
Genre | Airports |
ISBN |
A Historical Survey of Statistical Weather Prediction
Title | A Historical Survey of Statistical Weather Prediction PDF eBook |
Author | United States. Navy. Weather Research Facility |
Publisher | |
Total Pages | 44 |
Release | 1963 |
Genre | Numerical weather forecasting |
ISBN |
This work presents the history of the use of statistics in weather forecasting and describes the evolution of the more important statistical methods in this field: graphical techniques, periodicity, empirical orthogonal functions, and multiple discriminant analysis. A bibliography consisting of 141 references, divided by topics, and an appendix listing these references chronologically are included. (Author).
Analyzing and Forecasting Meteorological Conditions in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere
Title | Analyzing and Forecasting Meteorological Conditions in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere PDF eBook |
Author | R. M. Endlich |
Publisher | |
Total Pages | 62 |
Release | 1960 |
Genre | Atmosphere, Upper |
ISBN |
An Investigation of Symbol Coding for Weather Data Transmission
Title | An Investigation of Symbol Coding for Weather Data Transmission PDF eBook |
Author | Philip I. Hershberg |
Publisher | |
Total Pages | 56 |
Release | 1960 |
Genre | Cipher and telegraph codes |
ISBN |
Summary Report, Project Ice Way
Title | Summary Report, Project Ice Way PDF eBook |
Author | William David Kingery |
Publisher | |
Total Pages | 250 |
Release | 1962 |
Genre | Runways (Aeronautics). |
ISBN |