And Fall Flight Forecast.

Surveying of selected transects from the air and from the ground has been used since 1959 to determine the proportion of waterfowl, by species, that are observed by aerial crews. This method attempts to resolve obvious biases in aerial indexes relating to habitat differences, seasonal differences, aerial crew changes, etc. Assumptions in this method of correction are that (1) the ground crew observed substantially all waterfowl present and (2) the selected comparison transects adequately represent surrounding transects to which the correction is to be applied. This report, utilizing data of 1961 to 1966, reviews the necessity for air:ground correction and evaluates the procedure as a solution to aerial index biases ; problems apparent are lack of representativeness of air:ground transects and inadequate numbers of transects. Lack of representativeness appears in population density and in species composition differences between air:ground and operational transects. The degree to which the numbers of air:ground ratios varies according to areas and according to species. Recommendations to improve the air:ground technique are: (1) make two daily surveys of one aerial pass each, at an interval of at least two hours, in the same direction and at the same time as the adjacent operational transects are surveyed ; (2) make ground counts the day before or day after aerial surveys ; (3) lay out all air:ground comparison transects in the same direction (west-east) as the operational transects ; and (4) match new or relocated transects as nearly as possible to density and species composition of the survey stratum or area they represent.

A bibliography comprising annotated citations of 2037 scientific and technical publications from ten series issued by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Includes a six-page introduction containing a history of the Service and a description of the research and development series.