What separates the world’s most successful founders, entrepreneurs, and business leaders from the rest? It’s not visionary ideas or superhuman intelligence. It’s something more fundamental: their relationship with uncertainty. Most people are blown off course by unexpected events. Top performers, by contrast, know how to navigate our unpredictable world. Not just that: they know how to thrive in it. You can acquire this essential skill, too. In Mastering Uncertainty, investor and serial entrepreneur Csaba Konkoly and award-winning business author Matt Watkinson reveal the shortcomings of conventional business thinking and the advantages of developing a “probabilistic” mindset that turns uncertainty from a source of fear into an incredible and exciting advantage. They offer superbly practical advice on everything from how to handle setbacks and expand your network, to how to spot business opportunities and shape them into successful, growing businesses. Above all, they show how to think and operate like a great entrepreneur.

This open access book reports on innovative methods, technologies and strategies for mastering uncertainty in technical systems. Despite the fact that current research on uncertainty is mainly focusing on uncertainty quantification and analysis, this book gives emphasis to innovative ways to master uncertainty in engineering design, production and product usage alike. It gathers authoritative contributions by more than 30 scientists reporting on years of research in the areas of engineering, applied mathematics and law, thus offering a timely, comprehensive and multidisciplinary account of theories and methods for quantifying data, model and structural uncertainty, and of fundamental strategies for mastering uncertainty. It covers key concepts such as robustness, flexibility and resilience in detail. All the described methods, technologies and strategies have been validated with the help of three technical systems, i.e. the Modular Active Spring-Damper System, the Active Air Spring and the 3D Servo Press, which have been in turn developed and tested during more than ten years of cooperative research. Overall, this book offers a timely, practice-oriented reference guide to graduate students, researchers and professionals dealing with uncertainty in the broad field of mechanical engineering.

What separates the world’s most successful founders, entrepreneurs, and business leaders from the rest? It’s not visionary ideas or superhuman intelligence. It’s something more fundamental: their relationship with uncertainty. Most people are blown off course by unexpected events. Top performers, by contrast, know how to navigate our unpredictable world. Not just that: they know how to thrive in it. You can acquire this essential skill, too. In Mastering Uncertainty, investor and serial entrepreneur Csaba Konkoly and award-winning business author Matt Watkinson reveal the shortcomings of conventional business thinking and the advantages of developing a “probabilistic” mindset that turns uncertainty from a source of fear into an incredible and exciting advantage. They offer superbly practical advice on everything from how to handle setbacks and expand your network, to how to spot business opportunities and shape them into successful, growing businesses. Above all, they show how to think and operate like a great entrepreneur.

Batten down the hatches; great change is upon us! Excitement and uncertainty, in larger and more frequent doses, will define business and change management from here on out. To successfully navigate these uncertain waters, you and your crew will need to both understand business agility and practice to master its use to survive and thrive in these mounting seas of change. Colossal mega trends combined with a perfect storm of precarious economic, geopolitical and societal circumstances will make the choppy economic seas of the past look calm in comparison. No business will be safe using tools, methods and management styles developed for yesterday's business as usual. The pace of change will be frantic and to cope will require a flexible, more agile state of mind, plus powerful tools to help you remain focused upon what is coming instead of measuring and anal-eyes-ing what has already occurred. Get Agile Now! Here is a book packed with simple, practical tools to prepare you and your crew for the ride of your life! Whether you are running a small or medium enterprise, or grappling with the demands of a super large, multinational concern, being agile in thought, action and result is now a necessity.It is no longer only about making good decisions; it is about mastering powerful tools to implement changes effectively. It's about executing change with decisive and engaging leadership skills; to powerfully communicate with everyone involved to get them on board to quickly create measurable results. Praise for "Mastering Agility" "The message is clear: listen to what's going on with all your senses. Get your business associates and partners to do the same. Pay attention. Get agile...." Bob Waterman, Co-Author; In Search of Excellence, Author; The Renewal Factor, Adhocracy - the Power to Change, What America Does Right "Hans Amell has written a really important book. For a couple of decades now we have seen a lot of volatility. This is unlikely to change in the foreseeable future. This book provides the reader with a sound intellectual framework for how to cope in different volatile situations using agility as a headline for different activities. It also gives a number of more practical advice coming from the vast experience of the author's long life in the corporate sector. It is a book I really recommend for anyone entrusted with leading companies in the next volatile decade...." Leif Johansson; Chairman Ericsson & AstraZeneca "Mastering Agility offers a timely look at some of the global political, economic, technological and social forces rocking today's corporate world and offers plenty of well-crafted advice for not only staying afloat, but sailing ahead. It is a must read for business leaders who want to navigate the sea of changes taking place..." Dr. John W. Graham, Ph.D, Professor of Economics, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey "Terrific opportunities! This book charts a clear course for your C-suite to consider for quickly and easily leading the business through the 'perfect storms' of uncertainty.... " Hans Levenbach, President Delphus Inc. MS, MA, PhD, Co-Author; Forecasting, Practice and Process for Demand Management "Hans is the very definition of intellectual, emotional and physical agility. His vision and belief in Platinum Equity when we were just starting out made an indelible impact, and over the past two decades I have seen firsthand his power to think creatively, act decisively and inspire others to succeed..." Tom Gores, Founder & Chairman/CEO, Platinum Equity Group

Risk modeling is now a core skill for successful managers inside and outside finance. Alastair Day's "Mastering Risk Modelling" shows managers exactly how to build Excel-based models for identifying, quantifying and managing risk--models that provide clear, accurate decision-making guidance that can be used with confidence throughout the enterprise. An ideal follow-up to Day's bestselling "Mastering Financial Modelling," the book brings together risk modeling theory and practice more effectively than ever before. Day presents extensive tips and methods for developing Excel-based risk applications--including practical guidance on designing models and layering complexity on top of basic models. His series of Excel templates will jumpstart your own modeling, eliminate the need to start from scratch, and provide powerful insights for improving any model. All models are provided on an accompanying CD-ROM.

The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty.