Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation
Title | Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation PDF eBook |
Author | Tony Seba |
Publisher | Tony Seba |
Total Pages | 379 |
Release | 2014-06-27 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 0692210539 |
The industrial age of energy and transportation will be over by 2030. Maybe before. Exponentially improving technologies such as solar, electric vehicles, and autonomous (self-driving) cars will disrupt and sweep away the energy and transportation industries as we know it. The same Silicon Valley ecosystem that created bit-based technologies that have disrupted atom-based industries is now creating bit- and electron-based technologies that will disrupt atom-based energy industries. Clean Disruption projections (based on technology cost curves, business model innovation as well as product innovation) show that by 2030: - All new energy will be provided by solar or wind. - All new mass-market vehicles will be electric. - All of these vehicles will be autonomous (self-driving) or semi-autonomous. - The new car market will shrink by 80%. - Even assuming that EVs don't kill the gasoline car by 2030, the self-driving car will shrink the new car market by 80%. - Gasoline will be obsolete. Nuclear is already obsolete. - Up to 80% of highways will be redundant. - Up to 80% of parking spaces will be redundant. - The concept of individual car ownership will be obsolete. - The Car Insurance industry will be disrupted. The Stone Age did not end because we ran out of rocks. It ended because a disruptive technology ushered in the Bronze Age. The era of centralized, command-and-control, extraction-resource-based energy sources (oil, gas, coal and nuclear) will not end because we run out of petroleum, natural gas, coal, or uranium. It will end because these energy sources, the business models they employ, and the products that sustain them will be disrupted by superior technologies, product architectures, and business models. This is a technology-based disruption reminiscent of how the cell phone, Internet, and personal computer swept away industries such as landline telephony, publishing, and mainframe computers. Just like those technology disruptions flipped the architecture of information and brought abundant, cheap and participatory information, the clean disruption will flip the architecture of energy and bring abundant, cheap and participatory energy. Just like those previous technology disruptions, the Clean Disruption is inevitable and it will be swift.
Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030
Title | Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030 PDF eBook |
Author | James Arbib |
Publisher | |
Total Pages | |
Release | 2017-05-04 |
Genre | |
ISBN | 9780999401606 |
Solar Trillions
Title | Solar Trillions PDF eBook |
Author | Tony Seba |
Publisher | Tony Seba |
Total Pages | 294 |
Release | 2010 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 0615335616 |
Solar Trillions reveals market opportunities worth $35+ trillion of the $382 Trillion we'll spend in energy by 2050. The author shows why solar is the only clean energy source that can scale and why disruptive tech make it inevitable. Here are the seven amazing opportunities. 1: Desert Power: $9 trillion To provide all of America's electricity today, we would need just 100-by-100-mile square of desert. 2: Powering Industry: $7.1 trillion 24/7 solar power is here-and can reliably run factories & industry. 3. Island/Village Power: $2.6 trillion Two billion people around the world pay up to 10 times today's PV cost. 4: Power to the People: $8.7 trillion With Solar BIPV, walls, windows, and bricks will make money for building owners. 5: Bottled Electricity: $1.5 trillion We will hit peak water before we hit peak oil. 6: Energy in a Box: $5 trillion The race for electricity batteries is on. Solar thermal is ahead. 7: Internet Times Ten: $6.5 trillion The eBay of electricity is coming.
When Trucks Stop Running
Title | When Trucks Stop Running PDF eBook |
Author | A.J. Friedemann |
Publisher | Springer |
Total Pages | 136 |
Release | 2015-12-09 |
Genre | Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | 3319263757 |
In lively and engaging language, this book describes our dependence on freight transport and its vulnerability to diminishing supplies and high prices of oil. Ships, trucks, and trains are the backbone of civilization, hauling the goods that fulfill our every need and desire. Their powerful, highly-efficient diesel combustion engines are exquisitely fine-tuned to burn petroleum-based diesel fuel. These engines and the fuels that fire them have been among the most transformative yet disruptive technologies on the planet. Although this transportation revolution has allowed many of us to fill our homes with global goods even a past emperor would envy, our era of abundance, and the freight transport system in particular, is predicated on the affordability and high energy density of a single fuel, oil. This book explores alternatives to this finite resource including other liquid fuels, truck and locomotive batteries and utility-scale energy storage technology, and various forms of renewable electricity to support electrified transport. Transportation also must adapt to other challenges: Threats from climate change, financial busts, supply-chain failure, and transportation infrastructure decay. Robert Hirsch, who wrote the “Peaking of World Oil Production” report for the U.S. Department of Energy in 2005, said that planning for peak world production must start at least 10, if not 20 years ahead of time. What little planning exists focuses mainly on how to accommodate 30 percent more economic growth while averting climate change, ignoring the possibility that we are at, or near, the end of growth. Taken for granted, the modern transportation system will not endure forever. The time is now to take a realistic and critical look at the choices ahead, and how the future of transportation may unfold.
Transportation Energy Data Book
Title | Transportation Energy Data Book PDF eBook |
Author | |
Publisher | |
Total Pages | 340 |
Release | 2005 |
Genre | Energy conservation |
ISBN |
Hidden Costs of Energy
Title | Hidden Costs of Energy PDF eBook |
Author | National Research Council |
Publisher | National Academies Press |
Total Pages | 506 |
Release | 2010-06-26 |
Genre | Science |
ISBN | 0309146402 |
Despite the many benefits of energy, most of which are reflected in energy market prices, the production, distribution, and use of energy causes negative effects. Many of these negative effects are not reflected in energy market prices. When market failures like this occur, there may be a case for government interventions in the form of regulations, taxes, fees, tradable permits, or other instruments that will motivate recognition of these external or hidden costs. The Hidden Costs of Energy defines and evaluates key external costs and benefits that are associated with the production, distribution, and use of energy, but are not reflected in market prices. The damage estimates presented are substantial and reflect damages from air pollution associated with electricity generation, motor vehicle transportation, and heat generation. The book also considers other effects not quantified in dollar amounts, such as damages from climate change, effects of some air pollutants such as mercury, and risks to national security. While not a comprehensive guide to policy, this analysis indicates that major initiatives to further reduce other emissions, improve energy efficiency, or shift to a cleaner electricity generating mix could substantially reduce the damages of external effects. A first step in minimizing the adverse consequences of new energy technologies is to better understand these external effects and damages. The Hidden Costs of Energy will therefore be a vital informational tool for government policy makers, scientists, and economists in even the earliest stages of research and development on energy technologies.
100% Clean, Renewable Energy and Storage for Everything
Title | 100% Clean, Renewable Energy and Storage for Everything PDF eBook |
Author | Mark Z. Jacobson |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | 445 |
Release | 2020-10 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 1108479804 |
Textbook on the science and methods behind a global transition to 100% clean, renewable energy for science, engineering, and social science students.